SCPrepTalk

4A Projections after Week 10 - Updated: October 31,2015


Some Projected Region Records...
Region 1................Region 2.........................Region 3............................Region 4
Westside 6-1...........Spartanburg 6-1................Northwestern 6-0.................Dutch Fork 4-1
TL Hanna 5-2............Byrnes 6-1.....................York 4-2............................Westwood 4-1
Hillcrest 5-2.............Dorman 5-2....................Nation Ford 4-2....................Blythewood 3-2
Greenwood 4-3...........Boiling Springs 5-2..........Gaffney 4-2.........................Ridge View 3-2
Laurens 4-3..............Mauldin 3-4....................Fort Mill 2-4........................Spring Valley 2-3
Easley 3-4..............

Region 5................Region 6.........................Region 7............................Region 8
Lexington 5-0..........Sumter 5-0......................Goose Creek 5-0...................Fort D 4-0
River Bluff 3-2.........Conway 4-1......................Cane Bay 4-1.......................Ashley Ridge 3-1
North Augusta 2-3.....South Florence 3-2.............Wando 2-3..........................Summerville 2-2
White Knoll 2-3........Carolina Forest 2-3.............West Ashley 2-3....................Colleton County 1-3
Irmo 2-3

This is about 80% complete.
I am currently studying all the Out-of-State, 3A, and 2A opponents to see who might get to 6 wins....
I will see how that could affect the brackets.
So there may be an update.
I'll give more details later.

It's interesting how one small change reshuffles the deck.

Manning is having a down year,.... so Northwestern is being projected to land in the Div-II bracket.

Here's why: Manning hosts Darlington next week in a postponed 3A game. EHS-MG is projecting that Darlington will win which will give them an overall record of 6-4. A 3A team with a winning record is worth the same number of playoff points as a 4A team.

Carolina Forest defeated Darlington in week 0, (in this projection) the extra playoff point gives Carolina Forest an at-large playoff berth in Div-I, which bumps Northwestern down into the Div-II bracket.

I looked at EHSMeanGreen's picks and I note we choose a couple of games differently... Mauldin over Boiling Springs, Spring Valley over Blythewood and a few different in Region V which is Lexington and everyone else and then Region VII which is a total mess!

So you can look at my standings vs his standings and see where I picked a few differently and see how that changes things...

To be honest, it's looking more like D2 for Northwestern now. As we take the time to go over and over the brackets, we will find where a AAA game is important, but it is almost playoff time!

School Region Standing RW RL
Westside 1 6 1
TL Hanna 2 5 2
Hillcrest 3 5 2
Greenwood 4 4 3
Laurens 4 3
Easley 3 4
Woodmont 1 6
Greenville 0 7

Spartanburg 1 6 1
Byrnes 2 6 1
Dorman 3 5 2
Mauldin 4 4 3
Boiling Springs 4 3
JL Mann 2 5
Wade Hampton 1 6
Riverside 0 7

Northwestern 1 6 0
York 2 4 2
Nation Ford 3 4 2
Gaffney 4 2
Fort Mill 2 4
Rock Hill 1 5
Clover 0 6

Dutch Fork 1 4 1
Westwood 2 4 1
Spring Valley 3 3 2
Blythewood 2 3
Ridge View 2 3
Lugoff-Elgin 0 5

Lexington 1 5 0
Irmo 2 3 2
North Augusta 3 2 3
White Knoll 2 3
River Bluff 2 3
South Aiken 1 4

Sumter 1 5 0
Conway 2 4 1
South Florence 3 3 2
Carolina Forest 2 3
Socastee 1 4
West Florence 0 5

Goose Creek 1 5 0
Cane Bay 2 4 1
Wando 3 2 3
West Ashley 2 3
Stratford 1 4
James Island 1 4

Fort Dorchester 1 4 0
Ashley Ridge 2 3 1
Summerville 3 2 2
Colleton County 1 3
Bluffton 0 4



1 Dutch Fork
16 Summerville

8 Dorman
9 Mauldin

4 Sumter
13 Carolina Forest

5 Byrnes
12 Gaffney


2 Fort Dorchester
15 Spring Valley

7 Hillcrest
10 Boiling Springs

3 Goose Creek
14 Wando

6 Ashley Ridge
11 White Knoll



1 Spartanburg
16 South Florence

8 Westwood
9 Cane Bay

4 Lexington
13 North Augusta

5 Conway
12 Blythewood


2 Northwestern
15 Greenwood

7 York
10 Irmo

3 Westside
14 Fort Mill

6 TL Hanna
11 Nation Ford

Well if we get there Dutch Fork is at least a little closer to home than Northwestern.

If Ashley Ridge was to beat Fort, where would that drop Fort and make Ashley Ridge climb?

2002Patriot wrote:If Ashley Ridge was to beat Fort, where would that drop Fort and make Ashley Ridge climb?

I asked EHS this same question earlier in the week and he said probably 6 or 7, but of course all of that depends on what happens with everyone else. Thanks again EHS for keeping us all updated on this info, it helps alot.

dfactor26 wrote:

2002Patriot wrote:If Ashley Ridge was to beat Fort, where would that drop Fort and make Ashley Ridge climb?

I asked EHS this same question earlier in the week and he said probably 6 or 7, but of course all of that depends on what happens with everyone else. Thanks again EHS for keeping us all updated on this info, it helps alot.

Ah must have missed this. Thanks for that though.

2002Patriot wrote:

dfactor26 wrote:

2002Patriot wrote:If Ashley Ridge was to beat Fort, where would that drop Fort and make Ashley Ridge climb?

I asked EHS this same question earlier in the week and he said probably 6 or 7, but of course all of that depends on what happens with everyone else. Thanks again EHS for keeping us all updated on this info, it helps alot.

Ah must have missed this. Thanks for that though.

It was a private message between me and EHS

So if bluffton beats summerville who do you pick in region VIII to go to playoff or do you have summerville and Colleton going, wando only has 2 wins and 1 in conference play you have a 2 and 8 team going over a 6 win team if Colleton beats South Aiken next week

An interesting view of the bottom half of the D2 bracket....4 of the 8 teams are region 3